Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#333
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.2#45
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#342
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 2.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 10.1% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.6% 13.7% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 3.7% 7.3%
First Four0.3% 1.2% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Neutral) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 43 - 64 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 79   DePaul L 70-90 3%    
  Dec 03, 2020 9   @ Iowa L 67-99 0.1%   
  Dec 05, 2020 207   Central Michigan L 82-89 27%    
  Dec 12, 2020 186   @ Eastern Illinois L 71-86 10%    
  Jan 02, 2021 165   North Dakota St. L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 03, 2021 165   North Dakota St. L 70-80 20%    
  Jan 08, 2021 100   @ South Dakota St. L 69-90 3%    
  Jan 09, 2021 100   @ South Dakota St. L 69-90 4%    
  Jan 15, 2021 275   UMKC L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 16, 2021 275   UMKC L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 22, 2021 206   South Dakota L 77-84 28%    
  Jan 23, 2021 206   South Dakota L 77-84 28%    
  Jan 29, 2021 248   @ North Dakota L 73-84 18%    
  Jan 30, 2021 248   @ North Dakota L 73-84 19%    
  Feb 06, 2021 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-87 12%    
  Feb 07, 2021 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-87 12%    
  Feb 12, 2021 305   Denver L 79-81 44%    
  Feb 13, 2021 305   Denver L 79-81 44%    
  Feb 27, 2021 178   @ Oral Roberts L 75-90 10%    
  Feb 28, 2021 178   @ Oral Roberts L 75-90 11%    
Projected Record 4 - 16 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.4 0.7 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 13.7 7th
8th 0.5 3.4 8.0 8.1 4.2 0.9 0.1 25.2 8th
9th 7.2 13.6 14.2 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 47.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 7.2 14.0 17.7 17.2 14.0 10.9 8.1 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2
13-3 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 16.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 11.4% 11.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.3% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-6 0.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.7
9-7 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.5
8-8 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.9
7-9 5.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.2
6-10 8.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.0
5-11 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
3-13 17.2% 17.2
2-14 17.7% 17.7
1-15 14.0% 14.0
0-16 7.2% 7.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%